TenELOs AI Predictor outperforms competition on regular bases. Usually if we are wrong, everyone else is also wrong. Who would predict that Sinner is going to lose to Cerundolo in second round of FRENCH OPEN?! Especially after leading 6-3 6-2 5-1 in third set. Our model predicting for now only 2 sets…so at least after 2 sets we were correct 😊 The best part of our AI Predictor is however that we are still regularly predicting upsets. So the notable R16 "upset" calls that TenELOs have gotten right were:
• Arnaldi over Tiafoe (Both players had very similar clay ELO, Tiafoe would have advantage on HARD court, however Arnaldi performs much better on Clay and his last 10 matches performance made that difference)
• Mensik over Rublev (Mensik shows better form on clay right now. Another factor is that Mensik due to his age is rapidly improving his ELO while Rublev’s ELO is slowly decreasing.
In QF… TenELO AI Predictor matchup between
Matteo Arnaldi and Matteo Berrettini was:
• Predicted winner: Arnaldi
• Predicted score: 6–7, 6–3
TenELO favored Arnaldi despite Berrettini having the higher overall rating (2716 vs 2645) and higher clay Elo (2704 vs 2625). The model still projected Arnaldi to win based on its broader statistical inputs. Especially last 10 matches played on CLAY
Reality: • Arnaldi defeated Berrettini in the French Open quarterfinal. • Official result: 7–5, 5–2 ret. (Berrettini retired injured). So for this match, TenELO's winner prediction was correct again (Unlike most expert predicting Berrettini to win).
For the 2026 men's quarterfinals, that means TenELO correctly picked and better than majority:
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